Can Bruno Guimaraes construct on a forged get started?

Kicking off our pre-season ‘Great Expectations’ sequence is an review of Newcastle United midfielder Bruno Guimaraes.

In those articles, we take a look at gamers who’ve proven glimpses of promise and are doubtlessly at the cusp of a breakout Fantasy Premier League (FPL) marketing campaign.

Most of the stats and graphics used on this piece are taken from our Premium Members Area right here.

2021/22 FPL REVIEW

As the primary giant signing of the Magpies’ new possession, there was once already an expectation at the 24-year-old to justify his £40m price ticket. Yet it didn’t take lengthy for him to take action.

Five cameo appearances started existence on Tyneside, along with his arrival going down to coincide with Joe Willock in spite of everything hitting some goal-scoring shape.

Guimaraes’ complete debut at Southampton was once memorable for his informal back-heeled volley to win the sport.

The addition of each Eddie Howe and 5 iciness signings led to a dramatic shift in Newcastle’s shape. No Premier League crew had ever escaped relegation having now not received of their first 14 makes an attempt.

However, now not most effective did they live to tell the tale, it was once a at ease mid-table end on 49 issues. Since January 1, most effective Liverpool, Manchester City and Tottenham Hotspur have higher data.

Five Bruno Guimaraes objectives from 11 begins helped with this, with the Brazilian bagging a brace in opposition to Leicester City in Gameweek 33 earlier than notching moves that defeated each Norwich City and Arsenal.

Season Team Apps Goals
2021/22 Newcastle United 17 5
2021/22 Lyon 20 0
2020/21 Lyon 33 3
2019/20 Lyon 3 0
2019 Athletico Paranaense 25 2
2018 Athletico Paranaense 32 1
2017 Athletico Paranaense 4 0

Above: Bruno Guimaraes’ occupation taking part in statistics


Already beloved via enthusiasts, in reality that this run of objectives is a pink patch for his occupation up to now – most effective six had arrived in 117 league video games for Lyon and Athletico Paranaense.

When evaluating his warmth maps of new seasons, there appears to be no nice trade from ‘box-to-box midfielder’.

Heat maps of (left to proper) Newcastle 2021/22, Lyon 2021/22 and Lyon 2020/21, in keeping with SofaScore

His all-round qualities have already been displayed within the Premier League, along the objectives. Since his first get started in Gameweek 28, Guimaraes ranks as Newcastle’s absolute best outfield participant for pictures (20), anticipated target involvement (3.79), tackles (60) and recoveries (74).

However, in a much wider context, his attacking statistics aren’t in particular spectacular when in comparison to different FPL midfielders. In the similar duration, those target makes an attempt rank in twenty fifth position, additionally coming 63rd for penalty space touches (19).

Above: Over the process the season, Bruno Guimaraes was once ranked most effective forty third amongst midfielders for mins consistent with anticipated target involvement (xGI).

THE 2022/23 FPL PROSPECTS

An preliminary FPL price ticket of £5.0m was once given to Guimaraes in January, below the idea that he’d be a defensive midfielder.

He was once seldom used as a ‘number six’, then again, as an alternative being deployed as a extra all-action midfielder to the proper of deep-lying playmaker Jonjo Shelvey.

Above: The xG shotmap of Bruno Guimaraes after his transfer to the Premier League

With such an outstanding finish to the season and a quite extra complicated position below Howe, be expecting his 2022/23 beginning value to upward push.

“Goals weren’t necessarily one of the areas where we felt he would enhance us as a team, but he has, he’s scored some key goals for us.” – Eddie Howe

The Magpies start the season at house to Nottingham Forest and, if it wasn’t for the early conferences with Man City and Liverpool, they’d most probably had been deemed a crew to focus on from an FPL standpoint.

The Brazil global may have a complete pre-season in the back of him and, with the World Cup coming in November, there’s a position of their beginning line-up to play for.

There is already a powerful midfield reference to fellow Brazilian Joelinton, so including some attacking skills to the aptitude of Allan Saint-Maximin and goal-scoring instincts of Callum Wilson will have to, in principle, imply that Newcastle – and Guimaraes – are seeing extra of the ball in threatening spaces that the Magpies’ devoted have develop into aware of in a barren few many years.

Where he was once an actual cut price in 2021/22, a beginning value of round £6.0m-£6.5m would most certainly be a fairer summation of his FPL price. An moderate of a shot within the field and a possibility created each 81 and 88 mins respectively is extra Conor Gallagher (92/75) than Bukayo Saka (42/44), so expectancies need to be tempered slightly.


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