Do FPL defences stay fewer blank sheets in the beginning of the season?

With many Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers taking into account a ‘big at the back’ way for 2022/23, our newest article asks if fewer blank sheets are saved in the beginning of the season.

For this piece, we’ll be having a look on the figures from Gameweeks 1-6 and after, analysing the information to look if scoring behavior vary relying at the time of 12 months.

We will be aware of the numbers from the closing 11 seasons to look if the tendencies are a annually prevalence or certainly if there may be little to be learn into the figures.

OVERALL DEFENSIVE DATA

Firstly, let’s take a look at the whole defensive information during the last 11 seasons, which is way back to our Opta data pass.

Season Clean sheets
2021/22 212
2020/21 224
2019/20 207
2018/19 207
2017/18 226
2016/17 214
2015/16 215
2014/15 224
2013/14 232
2012/13 200
2011/12 206

DO DEFENCES KEEP FEWER CLEAN SHEETS AT THE START OF THE SEASON?

In the underneath tables, we’ll ruin down what number of blank sheets have been saved between Gameweeks 1-6 and 7-38, having a look at general data plus averages consistent with group, consistent with fit.

GAMEWEEKS 1-6

Season Clean sheets Average consistent with group, consistent with fit
2021/22 37 0.31
2020/21 28 0.24
2019/20 29 0.24
2018/19 31 0.26
2017/18 47 0.39
2016/17 25 0.21
2015/16 39 0.33
2014/15 35 0.29
2013/14 41 0.34
2012/13 29 0.25
2011/12 38 0.32

GAMEWEEKS 7-38

Season Clean sheets Average consistent with group, consistent with fit
2021/22 175 0.27
2020/21 196 0.30
2019/20 178 0.28
2018/19 176 0.28
2017/18 179 0.28
2016/17 189 0.30
2015/16 176 0.28
2014/15 189 0.30
2013/14 191 0.30
2012/13 171 0.27
2011/12 168 0.26

In six of the closing 11 seasons studied, Premier League defences was tighter with regards to blank sheets registered from Gameweek 7 onwards.

That doesn’t supply just about sufficient proof to mention that top-flight backlines are extra horny from a Fantasy point of view after the preliminary rounds of fixtures, even if it’s been the case in 3 of the closing 4 seasons.

There are a lot of speculative explanation why fewer blank sheets is also saved within the early weeks, from defences step by step turning into extra in sync because the season progresses to the early-season swagger that positive promoted groups showcase in the end giving method to a extra pragmatic way.

However, as we have now observed, the above effects are a combined bag and hardly ever evidence that defences stay fewer shut-outs initially of a marketing campaign.

Given {that a} ‘big at the back’ way is principally centered round top rate defenders from closing season’s peak 3 aspects – Manchester City, Liverpool and Chelsea – we’ll now take a look at the numbers from the ones groups underneath present control.

MANCHESTER CITY UNDER GUARDIOLA
Overall blank sheets GW1-6 GW7-38
2021/22 21 5 16
2020/21 19 1 18
2019/20 17 3 14
2018/19 20 3 17
2017/18 18 4 14
2016/17 12 1 11

LIVERPOOL UNDER KLOPP
Overall blank sheets GW1-6 GW7-38
2021/22 21 4 17
2020/21 12 1 11
2019/20 15 1 14
2018/19 21 4 17
2017/18 17 2 15
2016/17 12 0 12

CHELSEA UNDER TUCHEL
Overall blank sheets GW1-6 GW7-38
2021/22 16 4 12

Last season, Man City controlled a very good 5 blank sheets of their opening six fits, shutting out Norwich City, Arsenal, Leicester City, Southampton and Chelsea, whilst Liverpool and Chelsea recorded 4 each and every.

2020/21, in the meantime, wasn’t a super ad for going ‘big at the back’ from the off nevertheless it’s price noting that Man City handiest performed 5 fits between Gameweeks 1-6 and did tighten up considerably after their 5-2 defeat towards Leicester City in Gameweek 3. It used to be additionally a statistically freakish 12 months during which fits have been held at the back of closed doorways and residential benefit used to be virtually totally negated.

So there may be not anything conclusive within the information to indicate that defences want time to ‘settle down’ or that Fantasy budget must be diverted additional ahead initially of 2022/23.

While it must be stressed out that tendencies aren’t assured to proceed from one season to the following, there’ll be quite a few us beginning with a ‘big at the back’ way given the multitude of gung-ho choices (Trent Alexander-Arnold, Andrew Robertson, Reece James, Ben Chilwell, Joao Cancelo and even perhaps Ivan Perisic) at our disposal – offering we’re ready to deal with a few premiums additional ahead in our squad with captaincy in thoughts.

That suggests discovering worth within the midfield and ahead swimming pools might be extra essential than ever within the coming season.


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